The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:BBCP), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its quarterly results last week. It looks like quite a negative result overall, with both revenues and earnings falling well short of analyst predictions. Revenues of US$110m missed by 13%, and statutory earnings per share of US$0.13 fell short of forecasts by 31%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
Following last week's earnings report, Concrete Pumping Holdings' four analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be US$432.4m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 124% to US$0.56. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$480.7m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.67 in 2025. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Concrete Pumping Holdings' prospects following the latest results, administering a substantial drop in revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 5.6% to US$8.50. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Concrete Pumping Holdings at US$10.50 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$6.50. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 0.4% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 11% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 8.3% per year. It's pretty clear that Concrete Pumping Holdings' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Concrete Pumping Holdings' future valuation.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Concrete Pumping Holdings going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Concrete Pumping Holdings (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
