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Chengdu Leejun Industrial Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002651) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 27% Price Plummet

中国のChengdu Leejun Industrial株式会社(SZSE:002651)は、最近27%の価格下落で急速に走りすぎた可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  09/06 18:10

Chengdu Leejun Industrial Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002651) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 38% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Chengdu Leejun Industrial is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 6.4x, considering almost half the companies in China's Machinery industry have P/S ratios below 2.2x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SZSE:002651 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 6th 2024

What Does Chengdu Leejun Industrial's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Chengdu Leejun Industrial's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Chengdu Leejun Industrial will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Chengdu Leejun Industrial's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 36%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 26% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Chengdu Leejun Industrial's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Chengdu Leejun Industrial's P/S

Chengdu Leejun Industrial's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Chengdu Leejun Industrial revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Chengdu Leejun Industrial (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Chengdu Leejun Industrial's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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