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There's Reason For Concern Over Shanghai Wondertek Software Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603189) Massive 29% Price Jump

上海ワンダーテックソフトウェア株式会社(SHSE:603189)の株価が29%急騰したことには懸念すべき理由があります。

Simply Wall St ·  09/10 18:11

Shanghai Wondertek Software Co., Ltd (SHSE:603189) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.1% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, Shanghai Wondertek Software may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.2x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.1x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SHSE:603189 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 10th 2024

What Does Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Shanghai Wondertek Software has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Wondertek Software's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai Wondertek Software?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shanghai Wondertek Software's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 5.6% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Shanghai Wondertek Software currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Wondertek Software you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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