Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. For example the Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited (HKG:489) share price dropped 77% over five years. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 36% over the last twelve months. Furthermore, it's down 17% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 8.6% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Over five years Dongfeng Motor Group's earnings per share dropped significantly, falling to a loss, with the share price also lower. Since the company has fallen to a loss making position, it's hard to compare the change in EPS with the share price change. But we would generally expect a lower price, given the situation.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
This free interactive report on Dongfeng Motor Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Dongfeng Motor Group's TSR for the last 5 years was -69%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Investors in Dongfeng Motor Group had a tough year, with a total loss of 36% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 1.6%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 11% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Dongfeng Motor Group you should know about.
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
株価の変化だけを反映した株価リターンに加えて、投資家はトータル株主リターン(TSR)も考慮するべきです。TSRは、配当の価値(再投資されたと仮定)と割引キャピタルの調達や分割の利益を含みます。議論によれば、TSRは株式によって生成されるリターンの総合的な絵を提供します。実際、過去5年間のDongfeng Motor GroupのTSRは-69%でしたが、これは先ほど言及した株価リターンを上回っています。これは主に配当支払いの結果です!
Dongfeng Motor Groupの株主は、市場の約1.6%の上昇に対して36%の総損失(配当を含む)を被りました。良い株式の価格も時折下がることがありますが、私たちは事業の基本的な指標の改善を見ることを望みます。残念ながら、昨年のパフォーマンスは、過去5年間の年間損失11%よりも悪かったため、未解決の課題を示唆している可能性があります。一般的に、長期的な株価の弱さは悪い兆候となりますが、逆張り投資家は回復を期待してこの株式を調査したいと思うかもしれません。市場の状況が株価に与える影響を考慮する価値は十分にありますが、他にもさらに重要な要素があります。リスクも考慮してください。すべての会社にはリスクがあり、私たちはDongfeng Motor Groupに関して1つの警告サインを見つけましたので、それについて知っておくべきです。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。