When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like Daphne International Holdings Limited's (HKG:210) stock has recently. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.
SEHK:210 Earnings and Revenue History September 11th 2024
A Closer Look At Daphne International Holdings' Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
For the year to June 2024, Daphne International Holdings had an accrual ratio of -0.11. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥117m, well over the CN¥83.5m it reported in profit. Daphne International Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not the end of the story. We must also consider the impact of unusual items on statutory profit (and thus the accrual ratio), as well as note the ramifications of the company issuing new shares.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Daphne International Holdings.
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Daphne International Holdings issued 9.1% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Daphne International Holdings' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
How Is Dilution Impacting Daphne International Holdings' Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
Three years ago, Daphne International Holdings lost money. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 76%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 65% over the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Daphne International Holdings shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Daphne International Holdings' profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥9.7m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Daphne International Holdings to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
Our Take On Daphne International Holdings' Profit Performance
In conclusion, both Daphne International Holdings' accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative, but the dilution means that per-share performance is weaker than the statutory profit numbers imply. Looking at all these factors, we'd say that Daphne International Holdings' underlying earnings power is at least as good as the statutory numbers would make it seem. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Daphne International Holdings.
Our examination of Daphne International Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
会社の収益成長の価値を理解するためには、株主の利益の希釈を考慮することが不可欠です。実際、Daphne International Holdingsは昨年よりも9.1%多くの新株を発行しました。これは、その収益がより多くの株に分割されていることを意味します。希釈を無視して当期純利益を祝うことは、より多くのスライスに分かれた大きなピザの一片を持っているために喜ぶのに似ていますが、そのピザがより多くのスライスに切り分けられたことを無視しているのと同じです。Daphne International Holdingsの歴史的EPS成長を確認するには、このリンクをクリックしてください。
Daphne International Holdingsの株主の利益に影響を与える希釈はどのような影響を及ぼしていますか?
3年前、Daphne International Holdingsは赤字でした。一方、過去12か月で利益を76%増やしました。しかし、その一方で、一株当たりの収益は同じ期間で65%しか増えていません。そのため、希釈が株主の収益に影響を与えていることが明確に見えます。
株価の変動は、長期的には一株当たりの収益の変動を反映する傾向があります。したがって、Daphne International Holdingsの株主はEPSの数字が引き続き増加していることを望むでしょう。ただし、その利益が増加しても一株当たりの収益が横ばい(または減少)している場合、株主はあまり恩恵を受けられないかもしれません。一般の小売株主にとって、EPSは会社の利益の仮想的な「シェア」を確認するための重要な指標です。
異例の項目が利益に与える影響
Daphne International Holdingsの利益は、過去12か月でCN¥970万相当の特異な項目によって減少し、それによって特異な項目によって反映される高キャッシュコンバージョンを達成しました。もし特異な項目に非現金的な費用が含まれている場合、強いアクルアル率を期待するでしょう。これが今回の場合に起こった正確なことです。会社の利益に影響を与える特異な項目を見ることは決して良いことではありませんが、逆に、事態がまもなく改善されるかもしれません。私たちは数千の上場企業を調査し、特異な項目が非常に頻繁に一過性のものであることを見つけました。そして、これらの項目は特異と見なされるため、そのことは驚くべきことではありません。仮に、これらの特異な費用が再び発生しないと仮定すると、Daphne International Holdingsは条件が同じであれば来年により高い利益を生み出すことが期待されます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。