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Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Shanghai Industrial Holdings Limited (HKG:363) For Its Upcoming Dividend

配当投資家:上海工業控股有限公司(HKG:363)の次回配当を買い急がないでください

Simply Wall St ·  09/15 20:35

Readers hoping to buy Shanghai Industrial Holdings Limited (HKG:363) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. In other words, investors can purchase Shanghai Industrial Holdings' shares before the 20th of September in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 10th of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.42 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of HK$0.94 per share. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Shanghai Industrial Holdings has a trailing yield of 8.7% on the current share price of HK$10.76. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Shanghai Industrial Holdings's dividend is reliable and sustainable. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Shanghai Industrial Holdings is paying out just 17% of its profit after tax, which is comfortably low and leaves plenty of breathing room in the case of adverse events. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. The company paid out 107% of its free cash flow over the last year, which we think is outside the ideal range for most businesses. Cash flows are usually much more volatile than earnings, so this could be a temporary effect - but we'd generally want to look more closely here.

Shanghai Industrial Holdings paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough cash to cover the dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were Shanghai Industrial Holdings to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Click here to see how much of its profit Shanghai Industrial Holdings paid out over the last 12 months.

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SEHK:363 Historic Dividend September 16th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. With that in mind, we're not enthused to see that Shanghai Industrial Holdings's earnings per share have remained effectively flat over the past five years. We'd take that over an earnings decline any day, but in the long run, the best dividend stocks all grow their earnings per share.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the last 10 years, Shanghai Industrial Holdings has lifted its dividend by approximately 0.8% a year on average.

The Bottom Line

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Shanghai Industrial Holdings? It's disappointing to see earnings per share have fallen slightly, even though Shanghai Industrial Holdings is paying out less than half its income as dividends. It's also paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of its cash flow, which makes us wonder just how sustainable the dividend really is. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

With that being said, if you're still considering Shanghai Industrial Holdings as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Shanghai Industrial Holdings that we strongly recommend you have a look at before investing in the company.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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