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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:601098)?

株価の低迷と堅固な基本情報:中国サウス出版&メディアグループ株式会社(SHSE:601098)について市場が間違っているのか?

Simply Wall St ·  09/22 20:21

It is hard to get excited after looking at China South Publishing & Media Group's (SHSE:601098) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.9% over the past week. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study China South Publishing & Media Group's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China South Publishing & Media Group is:

11% = CN¥1.8b ÷ CN¥16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.11 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

China South Publishing & Media Group's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

To start with, China South Publishing & Media Group's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 5.2% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This certainly adds some context to China South Publishing & Media Group's decent 6.4% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that China South Publishing & Media Group's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 3.4% in the same period, which is great to see.

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SHSE:601098 Past Earnings Growth September 23rd 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China South Publishing & Media Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is China South Publishing & Media Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

While China South Publishing & Media Group has a three-year median payout ratio of 73% (which means it retains 27% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

Moreover, China South Publishing & Media Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with China South Publishing & Media Group's performance. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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