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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Changmao Biochemical Engineering Company Limited (HKG:954) Even After 25% Share Price Boost

チャンマオ バイオケミカルエンジニアリングカンパニーリミテッド(HKG:954)の株価が25%上昇した後も、市場はまだ完全な確信を欠いている可能性があります

Simply Wall St ·  09/22 19:18

Changmao Biochemical Engineering Company Limited (HKG:954) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 19% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Changmao Biochemical Engineering's P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Chemicals industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SEHK:954 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 23rd 2024

How Changmao Biochemical Engineering Has Been Performing

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Changmao Biochemical Engineering's revenue has been unimpressive. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Changmao Biochemical Engineering will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Changmao Biochemical Engineering?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Changmao Biochemical Engineering's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. However, a few strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 39% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been great for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 6.2% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Changmao Biochemical Engineering's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Changmao Biochemical Engineering's P/S?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Changmao Biochemical Engineering's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We didn't quite envision Changmao Biochemical Engineering's P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Changmao Biochemical Engineering (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant).

If you're unsure about the strength of Changmao Biochemical Engineering's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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