The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Billion Industrial Holdings Limited's (HKG:2299) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Investors are probably missing some underlying factors which are encouraging for the future of the company.
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A Closer Look At Billion Industrial Holdings' Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Billion Industrial Holdings has an accrual ratio of -0.20 for the year to June 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥2.2b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥479.2m. Notably, Billion Industrial Holdings had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥2.2b it produced this year was a welcome improvement.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Billion Industrial Holdings.
Our Take On Billion Industrial Holdings' Profit Performance
As we discussed above, Billion Industrial Holdings' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Billion Industrial Holdings' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Billion Industrial Holdings, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Billion Industrial Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.