Shandong Huifa Foodstuff Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603536) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 9.8% isn't as impressive.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Food industry is similar at about 1.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen a 23% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 16% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's P/S
Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.