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Little Excitement Around China Publishing & Media Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601949) Earnings

中国出版・メディアホールディングス社(SHSE:601949)の収益についてはあまり興奮が見られません

Simply Wall St ·  09/24 23:22

China Publishing & Media Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601949) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 27x and even P/E's above 51x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

China Publishing & Media Holdings has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

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SHSE:601949 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 25th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Publishing & Media Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For China Publishing & Media Holdings?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as China Publishing & Media Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 7.0% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we can see why China Publishing & Media Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

What We Can Learn From China Publishing & Media Holdings' P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of China Publishing & Media Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - China Publishing & Media Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of China Publishing & Media Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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