Despite an already strong run, Zhongrun Resources Investment Corporation (SZSE:000506) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. But the last month did very little to improve the 70% share price decline over the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider Zhongrun Resources Investment as a stock not worth researching with its 5.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Zhongrun Resources Investment's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhongrun Resources Investment over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhongrun Resources Investment will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhongrun Resources Investment?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Zhongrun Resources Investment's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 48% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Zhongrun Resources Investment is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Zhongrun Resources Investment have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Zhongrun Resources Investment revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Zhongrun Resources Investment (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhongrun Resources Investment, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.