Ningbo Shanshan Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600884) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 38% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Ningbo ShanshanLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.9x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Ningbo ShanshanLtd Performed Recently?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Ningbo ShanshanLtd's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Keen to find out how analysts think Ningbo ShanshanLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ningbo ShanshanLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.7%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 23% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 39% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 23%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Ningbo ShanshanLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Ningbo ShanshanLtd's P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
A look at Ningbo ShanshanLtd's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Ningbo ShanshanLtd you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ningbo ShanshanLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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