Despite an already strong run, Jinyuan EP Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000546) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 23% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Jinyuan EP's P/S ratio of 0.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Basic Materials industry in China is also close to 1.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Jinyuan EP Has Been Performing
Jinyuan EP has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jinyuan EP, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Jinyuan EP's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Jinyuan EP's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 23% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has fallen 55% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 7.6% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jinyuan EP is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Jinyuan EP appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
The fact that Jinyuan EP currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Jinyuan EP.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jinyuan EP, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.