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Investor Optimism Abounds Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603160) But Growth Is Lacking

投資家の楽観が満ちるが、成長は不足しているshenzhen goodix technology株式会社(SHSE:603160)

Simply Wall St ·  09/30 02:31

It's not a stretch to say that Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603160) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Semiconductor industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 5.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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SHSE:603160 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Goodix Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

Shenzhen Goodix Technology certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shenzhen Goodix Technology.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen Goodix Technology?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen Goodix Technology would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 29% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 36% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Shenzhen Goodix Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Goodix Technology's P/S?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Shenzhen Goodix Technology's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Shenzhen Goodix Technology with six simple checks.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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