Despite an already strong run, Addsino Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000547) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 9.1% over the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, Addsino may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.9x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Communications industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.2x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Addsino's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Addsino's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Addsino's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Addsino's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 45%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 67% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 42% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Addsino is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Addsino's P/S
Addsino's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Addsino revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Addsino (including 1 which is concerning).
If you're unsure about the strength of Addsino's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.