The Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop. (SZSE:300792) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 36%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 16% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 56.6x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 46%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 76% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% per annum as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 19% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.