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Nantong JiangTian Chemical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300927) 48% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

南通江天化工有限公司(SZSE:300927)の株価が48%急騰したが、完全に合致していない

Simply Wall St ·  10/01 06:43

The Nantong JiangTian Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300927) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 48%. Looking further back, the 24% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, Nantong JiangTian Chemical's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 53.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 29x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

For example, consider that Nantong JiangTian Chemical's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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SZSE:300927 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nantong JiangTian Chemical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Nantong JiangTian Chemical's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Nantong JiangTian Chemical's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 14%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 28% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Nantong JiangTian Chemical's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Nantong JiangTian Chemical's P/E?

The strong share price surge has got Nantong JiangTian Chemical's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Nantong JiangTian Chemical currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Nantong JiangTian Chemical (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Nantong JiangTian Chemical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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