When we're researching a company, it's sometimes hard to find the warning signs, but there are some financial metrics that can help spot trouble early. More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. Ultimately this means that the company is earning less per dollar invested and on top of that, it's shrinking its base of capital employed. Having said that, after a brief look, Guangdong Mingzhu GroupLtd (SHSE:600382) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Guangdong Mingzhu GroupLtd is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.059 = CN¥177m ÷ (CN¥3.5b - CN¥446m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
So, Guangdong Mingzhu GroupLtd has an ROCE of 5.9%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 5.7%, it's still a low return by itself.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Guangdong Mingzhu GroupLtd.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Guangdong Mingzhu GroupLtd Tell Us?
The trend of returns that Guangdong Mingzhu GroupLtd is generating are raising some concerns. The company used to generate 9.7% on its capital five years ago but it has since fallen noticeably. In addition to that, Guangdong Mingzhu GroupLtd is now employing 54% less capital than it was five years ago. The combination of lower ROCE and less capital employed can indicate that a business is likely to be facing some competitive headwinds or seeing an erosion to its moat. Typically businesses that exhibit these characteristics aren't the ones that tend to multiply over the long term, because statistically speaking, they've already gone through the growth phase of their life cycle.
What We Can Learn From Guangdong Mingzhu GroupLtd's ROCE
To see Guangdong Mingzhu GroupLtd reducing the capital employed in the business in tandem with diminishing returns, is concerning. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 9.5% in the last five years. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
If you'd like to know more about Guangdong Mingzhu GroupLtd, we've spotted 4 warning signs, and 2 of them are a bit unpleasant.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.