Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000663) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 35% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 35% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 30x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
For instance, Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.8%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 41% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's P/E
Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.