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Fujian Rongji Software Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002474) 35% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

福建榕基软件股份有限公司(SZSE:002474)の株価が35%急騰しているが、完全に合計されていない

Simply Wall St ·  09/30 21:04

The Fujian Rongji Software Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002474) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 35%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 21% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.8x, you may consider Fujian Rongji Software as a stock to avoid entirely with its 10.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SZSE:002474 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

How Has Fujian Rongji Software Performed Recently?

For instance, Fujian Rongji Software's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Fujian Rongji Software will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Fujian Rongji Software?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Fujian Rongji Software's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 44% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 55% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 20% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Fujian Rongji Software is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Fujian Rongji Software's P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Fujian Rongji Software's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Fujian Rongji Software currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Fujian Rongji Software that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Fujian Rongji Software's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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