Guiyang Xintian Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002873) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 22% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.2x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 35% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 30% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 27% each year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E?
The large bounce in Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.