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Sinomach General Machinery Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600444) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

中機通用機械科学技術股份有限公司(SHSE:600444)株は堅調ですが、基本的な要素は不確かです:先行きはどうなるのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  10/01 15:23

Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:600444) stock is up by a considerable 25% over the past month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd is:

6.2% = CN¥43m ÷ CN¥691m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 6.2% ROE

On the face of it, Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.2%, we may spare it some thought. But Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd saw a five year net income decline of 4.7% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

So, as a next step, we compared Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 2.5% over the last few years.

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SHSE:600444 Past Earnings Growth October 1st 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 39% (that is, a retention ratio of 61%), the fact that Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Additionally, Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd has paid dividends over a period of five years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 4 risks we have identified for Sinomach General Machinery Science & TechnologyLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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