Daisho Microline Holdings Limited (HKG:567) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 31% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may consider Daisho Microline Holdings as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
How Has Daisho Microline Holdings Performed Recently?
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Daisho Microline Holdings recently, which is not something to boast about. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the benign revenue growth will improve to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Daisho Microline Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Daisho Microline Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Daisho Microline Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 26% overall rise in revenue. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 22% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Daisho Microline Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
The large bounce in Daisho Microline Holdings' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Daisho Microline Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Daisho Microline Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.