Despite an already strong run, Northeast Electric Development Company Limited (HKG:42) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 31% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 27% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Northeast Electric Development is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.7x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
How Northeast Electric Development Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Northeast Electric Development over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Northeast Electric Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Northeast Electric Development's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 97% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it interesting that Northeast Electric Development is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Northeast Electric Development's P/S?
Northeast Electric Development shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our look into Northeast Electric Development has shown that it currently trades on a higher than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider industry forecast. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Northeast Electric Development (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.