Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600458) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 61x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology's negative earnings growth of late has neither been better nor worse than most other companies. It might be that many expect the company's earnings performance to degrade further, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. At the very least, you'd be hoping that earnings don't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.4%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 22% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 31% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.