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What Summi (Group) Holdings Limited's (HKG:756) 33% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

森美(集団)ホールディングス株式会社(HKG:756)の株価が33%上昇しても、あなたに伝えていないこと

Simply Wall St ·  10/19 06:18

Summi (Group) Holdings Limited (HKG:756) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 33% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 28% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Summi (Group) Holdings is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.2x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Food industry have P/S ratios below 0.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SEHK:756 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2024

What Does Summi (Group) Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Summi (Group) Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Summi (Group) Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Summi (Group) Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Summi (Group) Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has fallen 27% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 6.5% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Summi (Group) Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Summi (Group) Holdings' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Summi (Group) Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Summi (Group) Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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