If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, while the ROCE is currently high for GCH Technology (SHSE:688625), we aren't jumping out of our chairs because returns are decreasing.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on GCH Technology is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.20 = CN¥251m ÷ (CN¥3.0b - CN¥1.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, GCH Technology has an ROCE of 20%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Chemicals industry average of 5.5%.
In the above chart we have measured GCH Technology's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for GCH Technology .
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of GCH Technology's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Historically returns on capital were even higher at 38%, but they have dropped over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 59%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 20%. What this means is that in reality, a rather large portion of the business is being funded by the likes of the company's suppliers or short-term creditors, which can bring some risks of its own.
In Conclusion...
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that GCH Technology is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 23% in the last three years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
If you want to know some of the risks facing GCH Technology we've found 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you'd like to see other companies earning high returns, check out our free list of companies earning high returns with solid balance sheets here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.