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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) Even After 26% Share Price Boost

ヤム・チャイナ・ホールディングスのニューヨーク証券取引所(NYSE:YUMC)は、株価が26%上昇した後も、市場はまだいくらかの確信を欠いている可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  10/19 09:30

Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 15% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Yum China Holdings' P/E ratio of 19.9x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in the United States is also close to 19x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for Yum China Holdings as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

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NYSE:YUMC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 19th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Yum China Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Yum China Holdings' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Yum China Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 9.2% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 14% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Yum China Holdings' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Yum China Holdings' P/E

Yum China Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Yum China Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Yum China Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Yum China Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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