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Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics Co., Ltd's (SHSE:688593) 123% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

上海ニュービジョンマイクロエレクトロニクス株式会社(SHSE:688593)の株価が123%急騰、あまり説明がつかない

Simply Wall St ·  10/19 20:14

The Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics Co., Ltd (SHSE:688593) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 123%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 44%.

Since its price has surged higher, Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 19.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios under 6.8x and even P/S lower than 3x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SHSE:688593 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 20th 2024

What Does Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.1%. Still, revenue has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 38% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Having said that, be aware Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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