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There's Reason For Concern Over Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics Inc.'s (SHSE:688130) Massive 86% Price Jump

杭州SDICマイクロエレクトロニクス株式会社(SHSE:688130)の株価が86%急上昇したことについて懸念がある理由があります

Simply Wall St ·  10/27 08:38

The Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics Inc. (SHSE:688130) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 86%. Looking further back, the 14% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 24x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios under 7.1x and even P/S lower than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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SHSE:688130 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 27th 2024

How Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 9.6% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 25% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hangzhou SDIC Microelectronics that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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