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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Sanxiang Impression (SZSE:000863) the Stock Rises 9.0%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 45%

三湘印象(SZSE:000863)の収益の下降にもかかわらず、株価は9.0%上昇し、3年間の利益は45%増加しています。

Simply Wall St ·  10/29 12:00

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, the Sanxiang Impression Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000863) share price is up 40% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 17% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 8.1% in the last year.

Since the stock has added CN¥378m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the three years of share price growth, Sanxiang Impression actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 48% per year.

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.

The revenue drop of 58% is as underwhelming as some politicians. The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between Sanxiang Impression's share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

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SZSE:000863 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 29th 2024

This free interactive report on Sanxiang Impression's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Sanxiang Impression's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Sanxiang Impression's TSR of 45% over the last 3 years is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Sanxiang Impression provided a TSR of 8.1% over the year. That's fairly close to the broader market return. To take a positive view, the gain is pleasing, and it sure beats annualized TSR loss of 0.3%, which was endured over half a decade. While 'turnarounds seldom turn' there are green shoots for Sanxiang Impression. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Sanxiang Impression that you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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