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Shengyi Technology Co.,Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 23%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

shengyi technology社はEPSを23%の差で逃しました:アナリストは次に何が起こるかを考えています

Simply Wall St ·  10/31 06:23

Last week saw the newest quarterly earnings release from Shengyi Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600183), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. It looks like a pretty bad result, all things considered. Although revenues of CN¥5.1b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings fell badly short, missing estimates by 23% to hit CN¥0.19 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

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SHSE:600183 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 30th 2024

Following the latest results, Shengyi TechnologyLtd's 13 analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥21.9b in 2025. This would be a decent 15% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 44% to CN¥0.97. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥21.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.98 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥23.18. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Shengyi TechnologyLtd at CN¥28.75 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥14.50. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Shengyi TechnologyLtd's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 12% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 5.6% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to see revenue growth of 18% annually. It seems obvious that, while the future growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, Shengyi TechnologyLtd is expected to grow slower than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Shengyi TechnologyLtd's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Shengyi TechnologyLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Before you take the next step you should know about the 2 warning signs for Shengyi TechnologyLtd that we have uncovered.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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