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We Think Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's (SZSE:000638) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

ヴァンファンド都市投資開発(SZSE:000638)の利益は、彼らが達成できることの基準にすぎないと考えています

Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/07 06:29

Vanfund Urban Investment and Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000638) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.

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SZSE:000638 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024

Zooming In On Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Vanfund Urban Investment and Development recorded an accrual ratio of 0.28. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥40m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥20.0m. We also note that Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥40m. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Vanfund Urban Investment and Development.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Unfortunately (in the short term) Vanfund Urban Investment and Development saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥33m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to September 2024, Vanfund Urban Investment and Development had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Vanfund Urban Investment and Development you should know about.

Our examination of Vanfund Urban Investment and Development has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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