San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:001317) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.
A Closer Look At San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to September 2024, San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.27. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥235m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥14.0m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥235m, this year, indicates high risk.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd.
Our Take On San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's Profit Performance
San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. And we are pleased to note that EPS is at least heading in the right direction in the alst twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd at this point in time. For example - San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.