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Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000995) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

gansu huangtai wine-marketing industry株式会社(SZSE:000995)の株価は堅調ですが、基本的な要素は不確実です:先行きはどうなるのか?

Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/07 16:21

Most readers would already be aware that Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's (SZSE:000995) stock increased significantly by 76% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd is:

2.6% = CN¥3.9m ÷ CN¥146m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

It is hard to argue that Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 16%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's five year net income decline of 41% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

That being said, we compared Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 15% in the same 5-year period.

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SZSE:000995 Past Earnings Growth November 7th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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