The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Lifetime Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:LCUT), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its quarterly results last week. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at US$184m, statutory earnings missed forecasts by an incredible 94%, coming in at just US$0.02 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
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After the latest results, the three analysts covering Lifetime Brands are now predicting revenues of US$713.0m in 2025. If met, this would reflect a credible 6.3% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Lifetime Brands is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$0.60 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$714.4m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.76 in 2025. So there's definitely been a decline in sentiment after the latest results, noting the large cut to new EPS forecasts.
It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at US$12.00, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Lifetime Brands at US$14.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$9.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Lifetime Brands is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 5.0% annualised growth until the end of 2025. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 2.6% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 5.8% per year. So while Lifetime Brands' revenues are expected to improve, it seems that it is expected to grow at about the same rate as the overall industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Lifetime Brands. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Lifetime Brands analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Even so, be aware that Lifetime Brands is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.