Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603058) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd had CN¥384.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥221.7m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥264.7m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥119.3m.
A Look At GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd had liabilities of CN¥343.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥326.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥264.7m in cash and CN¥276.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥128.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.46b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.53. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 65.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd has boosted its EBIT by 32%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
The good news is that GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.