Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Gansu Shangfeng Cement Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000672) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
How Much Debt Does Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd Carry?
As you can see below, Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd had CN¥4.51b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has CN¥4.82b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥305.1m net cash.
A Look At Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.34b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.94b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.82b in cash and CN¥1.00b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.46b.
This deficit isn't so bad because Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd is worth CN¥7.78b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In fact Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 53% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd recorded free cash flow of 49% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
While Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥305.1m. So we don't have any problem with Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.