To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology (SHSE:688237) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0017 = CN¥2.3m ÷ (CN¥1.6b - CN¥244m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology has an ROCE of 0.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 4.4%.
In the above chart we have measured Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology .
So How Is Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology's ROCE Trending?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 8.1% over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a side note, Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 15% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
What We Can Learn From Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology's ROCE
While returns have fallen for Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 38% in the last year. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology you'll probably want to know about.
While Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.