To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Guangzhou Restaurant Group (SHSE:603043) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Guangzhou Restaurant Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = CN¥573m ÷ (CN¥7.6b - CN¥2.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Guangzhou Restaurant Group has an ROCE of 11%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Hospitality industry average of 8.7% it's much better.
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Guangzhou Restaurant Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Guangzhou Restaurant Group .
What Does the ROCE Trend For Guangzhou Restaurant Group Tell Us?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Guangzhou Restaurant Group, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 11% from 20% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
Our Take On Guangzhou Restaurant Group's ROCE
While returns have fallen for Guangzhou Restaurant Group in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. These growth trends haven't led to growth returns though, since the stock has fallen 21% over the last five years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with Guangzhou Restaurant Group and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.