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Should Weakness in Winnebago Industries, Inc.'s (NYSE:WGO) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

ウィニベーゴインダストリーズ社(nyse:WGO)の株式の弱さは、良好な財務を考慮すると、市場がシェア価格を修正する兆候と見なされるべきか?

Simply Wall St ·  11/19 06:38

With its stock down 9.9% over the past week, it is easy to disregard Winnebago Industries (NYSE:WGO). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on Winnebago Industries' ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Winnebago Industries is:

1.0% = US$13m ÷ US$1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.01 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Winnebago Industries' Earnings Growth And 1.0% ROE

It is quite clear that Winnebago Industries' ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 15%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Although, we can see that Winnebago Industries saw a modest net income growth of 7.3% over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Winnebago Industries' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 18% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

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NYSE:WGO Past Earnings Growth November 19th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Winnebago Industries''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Winnebago Industries Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Winnebago Industries' three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 10% (implying that it retains 90% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

Additionally, Winnebago Industries has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 21% over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Winnebago Industries' future ROE will rise to 17% even though the the company's payout ratio is expected to rise. We presume that there could some other characteristics of the business that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Winnebago Industries has some positive attributes. Specifically, its fairly high earnings growth number, which no doubt was backed by the company's high earnings retention. Still, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping a lot of benefit to the investors. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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