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Is Prada (HKG:1913) A Risky Investment?

prada (HKG:1913) はリスクのある投資ですか。

Simply Wall St ·  11/26 06:07

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

How Much Debt Does Prada Carry?

As you can see below, Prada had €396.2m of debt at June 2024, down from €486.7m a year prior. However, it does have €661.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €265.0m.

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SEHK:1913 Debt to Equity History November 25th 2024

How Strong Is Prada's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Prada had liabilities of €1.60b due within 12 months and liabilities of €2.20b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €661.3m in cash and €440.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €2.70b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Prada shares are worth a very impressive total of €16.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Prada also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Also good is that Prada grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Prada's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Prada has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Prada recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 85% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing Up

While Prada does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €265.0m. The cherry on top was that in converted 85% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €768m. So we don't think Prada's use of debt is risky. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Prada, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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