Even Though Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd (SHSE:603619) Has Lost CN¥366m Market Cap in Last 7 Days, Shareholders Are Still up 80% Over 3 Years
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, the Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Corp.,Ltd. (SHSE:603619) share price is up 68% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 21% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 11% in the last year, including dividends.
Although Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd has shed CN¥366m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd became profitable within the last three years. So we would expect a higher share price over the period.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
It is of course excellent to see how Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd, it has a TSR of 80% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 11% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 11% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
インデックスファンドを買うことで、市場のリターンを簡単に大体一致させることができます。しかし、魅力的な価格で良いビジネスを買えば、ポートフォリオのリターンは平均的な市場のリターンを上回る可能性があります。例えば、Zhongman Petroleum And Natural Gas Group Corp.,Ltd.(SHSE:603619)の株価は過去3年間で68%上昇しており、市場の約21%の下落(配当を除く)を明確に上回っています。しかし、最近のリターンはそれほど印象的ではなく、昨年は配当を含めてわずか11%のリターンとなっています。
Zhongman Petroleum And Natural Gas GroupLtdは今週、時価総額からCN¥36600万を失いましたが、長期的なファンダメンタルのトレンドを見て、リターンの推進要因を確認してみましょう。
株価リターンを測定することに加えて、投資家は総株主リターン(TSR)を考慮するべきです。TSRは、配当が再投資されるという前提に基づいて、スピンオフや割引資金調達の価値、配当を含んでいます。言ってみれば、TSRは株式によって生成されたリターンのより包括的な画像を提供します。Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Ltdの場合、過去3年間のTSRは80%です。これは以前に言及した株価リターンを上回っています。これは主に配当支払いの結果によるものです!
異なる視点
Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Ltdの株主が1年間で総株主リターン11%を受け取ったことを報告できることを嬉しく思います。もちろん、それには配当が含まれています。それは過去5年間の年率11%のリターンよりも良いものであり、会社が最近より良くなっていることを示唆しています。楽観的な視点を持つ人は、最近のTSRの改善を、ビジネス自体が時間とともに良くなっていることを示していると見るかもしれません。市場条件が株価に与えるさまざまな影響を考慮することは非常に重要ですが、さらに重要な要素も存在します。たとえばリスクを考えてみてください - Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Ltdには、あなたが気を付けるべき2つの警告サインがあります。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。