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MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) Stocks Shoot Up 27% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

mpマテリアルズ(nyse:MP)の株式が27%急騰しましたが、P/Sはまだ妥当に見えます。

Simply Wall St ·  12/04 18:09

MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:MP) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 46% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking MP Materials is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 20.5x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Metals and Mining industry have P/S ratios below 1.2x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NYSE:MP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 4th 2024

What Does MP Materials' Recent Performance Look Like?

MP Materials could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on MP Materials will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For MP Materials?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as MP Materials' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 40%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 33% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 63% each year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 6.8% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why MP Materials' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

MP Materials' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that MP Materials maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Metals and Mining industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for MP Materials that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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