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Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.,Ltd's (SZSE:002949) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

深センカポル・インターナショナル&アソシエイツ株式会社、Ltd(SZSE:002949)の株価は上昇しているが、財務状況は曖昧に見えます。勢いは続くのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  07:09

Most readers would already be aware that Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's (SZSE:002949) stock increased significantly by 100% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd is:

9.9% = CN¥158m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.10 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's Earnings Growth And 9.9% ROE

When you first look at it, Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 6.6% which we definitely can't overlook. But seeing Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's five year net income decline of 2.1% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

However, when we compared Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 3.5% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

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SZSE:002949 Past Earnings Growth December 11th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 002949 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 55% (implying that 45% of the profits are retained), most of Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only very little left to reinvest into the business, growth in earnings is far from likely.

In addition, Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd has been paying dividends over a period of six years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shenzhen Capol International & Associatesco.Ltd's performance. Primarily, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which explains the lack of growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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