There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials (SZSE:300727), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.085 = CN¥104m ÷ (CN¥1.7b - CN¥469m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Thus, Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials has an ROCE of 8.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Chemicals industry average of 5.5%.
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials for free.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials Tell Us?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 8.5% from 11% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
On a side note, Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials' current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 28% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. Keep an eye on this ratio, because the business could encounter some new risks if this metric gets too high.
In Conclusion...
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 97% to shareholders over the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.