Genasys Inc. (NASDAQ:GNSS) shares have had a horrible month, losing 30% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 51% in the last year.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in the United States' Communications industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may still consider Genasys as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Genasys Has Been Performing
Genasys could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Genasys will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Genasys?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Genasys' to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 49%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 49% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 137% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 10%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Genasys' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Genasys' P/S
Genasys' shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Genasys' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Genasys.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.