When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (NYSE:SQM) share price is up 46% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Unfortunately the share price is down 26% in the last year.
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Over half a decade, Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile managed to grow its earnings per share at 29% a year. We do note that extraordinary items have impacted its earnings history. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 8% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile the TSR over the last 5 years was 70%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile shareholders are down 26% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 31%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 11%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
長期的に株式を買い持ちする場合、必ずポジティブなリターンを得たいと思います。 さらに良いことに、シェア価格が市場平均を上回ることを期待しています。 しかし、株主にとって不幸なことに、Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (NYSE:SQM)のシェア価格は過去5年間で46%上昇しましたが、それは市場のリターンには劣ります。 さらに不幸なことに、昨年のシェア価格は26%下落しました。
5年以上の間に、Sociedad Química y Minera de Chileは1株当たりの利益を年間29%成長させることができました。 ただし、特別項目がその利益履歴に影響を与えたことに注意が必要です。 同じ期間における年間シェア価格の8%の増加に比べると、EPSの成長はより印象的です。 したがって、市場は最近この株式に対してそれほど熱心ではないようです。
特定の株式について、株主総利益を考慮することが重要です。TSRは、現金配当の価値(受け取った配当が再投資されたと仮定)と、割引資金調達およびスピンオフの計算された価値を考慮したリターン計算です。そのため、寛大な配当を支払う企業にとって、TSRはしばしば株価リターンよりもはるかに高くなります。Sociedad Química y Minera de Chileの場合、過去5年間のTSRは70%で、上記の株価リターンよりも良好であることに注意します。これは、主にその配当支払いの結果です。
異なる視点
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chileの株主は、年間26%の損失を被っています(配当を含めても)、しかし市場自体は31%上昇しています。良い株式の株価が時には下落することがありますが、興味を持つ前にビジネスの基本的な指標の改善を見たいと思います。長期投資家はこれほど迷惑ではありません。なぜなら、彼らは5年間で毎年11%の利益を上げてきたからです。基本的なデータが長期的に持続可能な成長を示し続けるなら、現在の売りは検討する価値があるかもしれません。市場条件が株価に与えるさまざまな影響を考慮する価値はありますが、さらに重要な要因もあります。例えばリスクを取ること - Sociedad Química y Minera de Chileには、認識しておくべき2つの警告サインがあります。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。