Despite an already strong run, Nanjing Chixia Development Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600533) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 7.4% isn't as impressive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x, considering almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.7x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 69%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 38% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 12% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd's P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
It's no surprise that Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Nanjing Chixia DevelopmentLtd that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.